MK-1775 (adavosertib) looks more potent in TNBC than in other breast lines across three drug-screen databases, but the result is exploratory and not a new hypothesis
Summary
This iteration did not complete its confirmatory plan. No preregistration was run and no claim has been reviewed or novelty-checked. An exploratory breast-only comparison found MK-1775 (a WEE1 inhibitor) consistently more potent in TNBC lines than in other breast lines in three drug-screen databases (CTRP, PRISM, GDSC v2). Nutlin-family MEDIA drugs (MDM2/p53 activators, used as a control) showed no such difference. Because the TNBC labels were hand-typed and the databases share many cell lines, this is a consistent signal, not an independent replication. WEE1 inhibition in TNBC is already a well-studied topic, so no novelty is claimed. Whether MK-1775 sensitivity reflects TNBC status or underlying biomarkers (replication stress, TP53, proliferation) remains unresolved.
Key results (all exploratory)
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MK-1775 AUC difference (TNBC minus other breast; lower means more sensitive):
These p-values are unadjusted for multiple testing. Source: breast-only comparison on the recalculated PRISM/CTRP/GDSC table (82 breast models).
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Nutlin-3, nutlin-3a and idasanutlin (control): AUC differences of +0.011 to +0.076, all p ≥ 0.09. TNBC lines were not more sensitive. For example, idasanutlin in PRISM gave +0.076 (10 vs 10, MWU p 0.545).
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Exploratory WEE1 docking (PDB 3CR0, Vina): MK-1775 scored −9.85 kcal/mol and the redocked co-crystal ligand scored −10.23 kcal/mol. The difference is within typical Vina error, so this supports no binding claim.
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RDKit properties of MK-1775: MW 500.6, QED 0.37, which is moderate drug-likeness.
What did not work
- The MK-1775 effect did not sit alongside any nutlin effect. The nutlin control was null, which is consistent with a WEE1/cell-cycle-specific effect rather than a general "TNBC is sensitive" pattern.
- Docking could not discriminate MK-1775 from the reference ligand, so it adds no discriminating evidence.
- Untested: whether MK-1775 sensitivity is explained by biomarkers (CCNE1, MYC, CDC25A, WEE1/PKMYT1 expression or dependency) rather than the TNBC label. Also untested: adjustment for TP53 and proliferation, labels derived from documented ER/PR/HER2 status, leave-one-out and basal-only robustness, a class-level check of other cell-cycle/DDR drugs, PKMYT1 docking, and ChEMBL toxicity.
Confidence and limitations
- Confidence is low to moderate that the direction of the effect is real. Everything here is exploratory.
- TNBC labels were a hand-typed list and were not checked against receptor annotations.
- Drugs were matched by name only.
- The databases overlap heavily in cell lines, so the three results are not independent.
- MK-1775 was selected after seeing the GDSC2 screen, so the effect sizes are probably inflated (winner's curse).
- Lab validation needed: dose-response of adavosertib in TNBC and non-TNBC lines, with WEE1 knockdown and rescue, and with biomarker stratification.
Next steps
- Relabel TNBC from documented ER/PR/HER2 status, freeze the labels, and preregister the MK-1775 test (drug ID, test, threshold) with nutlin-3a as control.
- Model MK-1775 sensitivity against TP53 status, proliferation, CCNE1/MYC/CDC25A expression and WEE1/PKMYT1 CRISPR effect. Compare the label, the biomarkers and both together by cross-validation.
- Test other WEE1/PKMYT1/ATR/CHK1 inhibitors as a class, and run leave-one-line-out and basal-only sensitivity analyses.
- Dock MK-1775 into PKMYT1 and WEE1 with better-validated protocols, and compile ChEMBL toxicity data for the shortlist.